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Forecasts for artificial intelligence conquering the International Mathematical Olympiad (IMO) have undergone a radical shift, according to recent analysis. A Reddit discussion thread calls attention to changing predictions on Metaculus, a prediction market. Previous estimates placed the AI achieving IMO Gold Medal status more than two decades in the future. However, revised forecasts suggest a significantly accelerated timeline. The original discussion can be found on Reddit: https://old.reddit.com/r/artificial/comments/1m5ehpy/just_a_few_years_ago_people_thought_we_were_still/