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Artificial intelligence is progressing at an accelerated pace, outpacing previous predictions. Initial projections from 2022 estimated a mere 2.3% probability of AI securing a Math Olympiad Gold medal by 2025. However, updated data suggests that this milestone could be reached sooner than anticipated. This rapid advancement underscores the volatile and unpredictable nature of AI development, sparking debate and analysis within the AI research community. Further discussion on this topic can be found on Reddit’s r/artificial: https://old.reddit.com/r/artificial/comments/1n85ldf/we_can_now_say_definitively_that_ai_progress_is/